Donald J. Trump
occupies his strongest position yet in the race for the Republican
presidential nomination, yet nearly two-thirds of American voters say
they are concerned or frightened about the prospect of a Trump
presidency, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News nationwide
poll.
The poll was taken
largely before his statement on Monday afternoon proposing to
temporarily bar Muslims from entering the United States.
On the Democratic
side, the poll found Hillary Clinton is maintaining her 20-point lead
over Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont. The possibility of her winning
the presidency in 2016 is only marginally more palatable to American
voters than that of Mr. Trump.
Mr. Trump commands the
support of 35 percent of Republican primary voters, leading his closest
competitors, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas (16 percent) and Ben Carson (13
percent) by a more than 2-to-1 margin. While Mr. Carson’s support was
cut in half since the last time The Times and CBS News polled on the
race in late October, Mr. Cruz has quadrupled his share. Senator Marco
Rubio of Florida’s support stands at 9 percent, with the rest of the
candidates at 4 percent or less.
Enthusiasm for and
attention to the campaign are higher among Republican primary voters
than among their Democratic counterparts. A 54 percent majority of
Democratic primary voters said they had made up their minds about who
they will support, while 64 percent of Republicans say it is still too
early to be sure. Majorities of Trump and Clinton supporters say their
decision is firm.
Over all, 24 percent
of voters expressed concern and 40 percent fear about what Mr. Trump
would do if elected president, whereas 23 percent said they are
concerned and 34 percent scared about the possibility of a Clinton
presidency. Not surprisingly, voters were sharply divided along partisan
lines.
While Republican
voters were most likely to say they were excited (24 percent) or
optimistic (41 percent), a full one-third of Republicans say they are
concerned or scared about Mr. Trump. Mrs. Clinton’s base views her
potential presidency more favorably than does Mr. Trump’s. Twenty-two
percent of Democratic voters are excited and 54 percent are optimistic,
while only 23 percent said they were concerned or scared.
The nationwide
telephone poll was conducted Dec. 4-8 with 1,053 registered voters,
including 431 Republican primary voters and 384 Democratic primary
voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage
points for registered voters and plus or minus 6 percentage points each
for Republican and Democratic primary voters.
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